Woodland's short game and putting . Viktor Hovland is 1st in this field over the last 36 rounds played in proximity to the hole. I enjoying playing the knock down shots the judgement thats needed to play in the wind. Disclaimer: The views, opinions, and commentary in this post belong to its author and do not necessarily represent the Tour Junkies as a whole. The chalk hit this week, so that doesn't bode too well for this series. IAN POULTER: Yeah, I definitely think, for me, I like the way the golf course sets up in the wind. Justin Thomas spoke after playing a practice round at Southern Hills and said: Its tough to chip. -2018 ToC, Q. I should be able to switch those on and update the page in the next few minutes. What Would It Cost the Raiders to Move Up to No. One area he has in mind is strokes-gained categories that account for factors such as wind, turf conditions and the contours of a shot. Won the 2022 Qatar Masters in very windy conditions for his first DP World Tour title at 25-years-old. Wind Anti-Specialists are the golfers whose performance in windy rounds is the lowest when comparing to their baseline. Small, firm, and fast greens combined with high winds typically results in a great deal of frustration for players. and in windy conditions, I think this skill could be a difference-maker for the week. SYNOP codes from weather stations and buoys. So if you hit a 5-yard cut, its going to be probably a 10-yard cut into the wind. Collin Morikawa 6. Q. Having a reliable sand wedge to dig out of bunkers will be imperative for a lot of players throughout the windy conditions at Bay Hill this weekend. He's top-15 in all the same stats that I listed above for Morikawa. -2017 Puerto Rico, Q. So, yeah, its just something that Im accustomed to and I dont particularly enjoy it, but its a good challenge. Is it something that you have to learn how to adjust to? Thank you. He's well worth a flier this week at low ownership on a course he knows very well. Nine under to start the day, Stallings was five strokes behind Scheffler when his afternoon began to improve. KEVIN TWAY: Yeah, absolutely. Mitchell also possesses an accurate driver, allowing him to find the fairway and outpace others in his group, giving him the best approach shot for birdie opportunities. Top 10 in strokes gained ball striking in windy to very windy conditions: 1. Ive played well, but Ive also played horrible in the wind. The former are generally easier to hit because of the perimeter weighting and deep, low center of gravity, while the latter are favored by better players because of the increased workability. Dynasty Rookie Draft Profile: Sean Tucker (2023 Fantasy Football), No, I'm a California resident looking for the California Consumer Privacy Act form. Pingback: 2017 U.S. Open DFS Golf Outlook - Fantasy Six Pack. Is that mere coincidence or do you think theres something about that in terms of like In the 2019-20 season, he was the strokes gained/putting champion of the PGA Tour, and almost became just the second person (after Jason Day) to average an entire stroke gained over the field per . This makes sense because the PGA Tour average for the hole was 4.1 and you made a 3. That can be found here: https://www.rotoworld.com/article/culps-corner/rbc-heritage-preview, Your email address will not be published. Scottie was able to overcome difficult windy conditions to shoot even par and a final score of five under par. Do you feel like youre a good wind player? Wind, I classify as my friend, but I would say this course might be a different beast with 30-mile-an-hour wind. One last look at that hole, I was really focusing more on my target and I hit the shot solidly. Just your first impressions about the course? He gained an impressive eight strokes on approach. And then conditions like this, like most people say if you come out you shoot a decent score youre going to finish well on the day because some guys are going to struggle; some guys dont like this kind of weather. BRANDEN GRACE: You know, you have to be precise, you have to pretty much work out a plan attacking the greens. The third elevated event of the PGA Tour season, this latest tournament brings together another elite field with players chasing another $3.6 million winners check. Matt. -2018 Masters. Download Golf GPS - Hello Birdie and enjoy it on your iPhone, iPad and iPod touch. But holding shots in the winds and letting it turn with it, being more feel-based, which can either be because of wind or it can be because of severe slopes and fairways, like Augusta has, where you have to fight against something. An ad blocker has likely prevented this video content from loading. . Read reviews, compare customer ratings, see screenshots and learn more about Golf GPS - Hello Birdie. In this case, that's 1.5-1 = 0.5. On a day like today, attitude surely plays a big part, right? 17th at Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, 16th at the Scottish Challenge, and finished 30th at the windy 2020 Scottish Open which should present similar conditions to this week. So the guys that hit it pretty good dont mind wind, because usually they hit it pretty solid and it doesnt affect it too much. McIIroy 5. -2016 Hero World Challenge, Albany, Q. Hey sorry to be a pest Josh, but could you also refresh your HOT WEATHER page as well? Ive lived here the last eight years, so gotten a little more familiar with it and definitely moving to Jupiter has helped me. I like the wind. We also know that slow greens (The Renaissance Club will run about a 10 on the stimp) will hide a lot of the flaws of the poor putters. The tee shot on a par 3 is also considered an approach shot. But, which players offer good value from a derivative markets standpoint? -2017 TPC Summerlin, Q. Are you a mudder? I feel like a decent wind player so thats kind of always an issue at this course it seems like. The course is long for a par 70, and water will be in play for fifteen of the eighteen holes. It may be both. Shane Lowry (1.751 sg:wind vs. 1.356 sg:total) I have been teaching the game for more than 15 years and have been teaching professionally for 8 years. -2017 Alfred Dunhill Links, SEAN OHAIR: Yeah, I always feel comfortable in Texas. Over the past 12, 24 and 50 rounds, Zalatoris sits 22nd, ninth and eighth, respectively. Cantlay 9. Join Now! In terms of the custom model, the Northern Irishman ranks sixth, fifth and first in the 12-, 24- and 50-round models, respectively. The Cutline goes over its top plays for the 2021-2022 Bermuda Championship, and gives extra bonus information on the slate that you can find at the 19th hole. Garcia 7. Weve seen over the past few weeks how important putting well on Bentgrass greens have been. You never know out here. Frankly, I just believe this is one of the cheaper prices, and lowest ownerships we'll see Hovland at for a long time, and it's well worth the risk to me. It's the average number of strokesthe actual number of strokes. Xander Schauffele has been one shot out of a playoff each of the past two years at the WM Phoenix Open, and he's put himself in position for another exciting weekend after an opening round 4-under 67 in windy conditions at TPC Scottsdale. But, we go on. CURTIS LUCK: Fortunately, where Ive grown up in Perth, its like an extremely windy place. But I think its just a great layout for the predominant wind you get here off the ocean, you get a lot of crosswinds and I tend to play well in the wind so I think thats kind of why it fits my game. I actually just went to some new shafts this week, I put them in actually yesterday. This is +0.5 in the Strokes Gained world, and means you have gained 0.5 strokes on the field on that shot. Did you think it gives you an advantage? DJ 13. But once you start swinging it well, like hitting it into the wind really shows you how you are hitting the golf ball because its going to only maximize your dispersion. Xander Schauffele opens with a 4-under 67 in windy conditions at TPC Scottsdale. He has a great golf swing and is very accurate with his shots. -2017 OHL Classic, Q. The strokes-gained cutoffs by category are OTT: 0.3, APP: 0.55, ARG: 0.55, PUTT: 0.65. -2018 Nine Bridges, Q. Firm, fast and windy conditions should suit the . The 33-year-old native of Northern Ireland ranks first in driving distance, ninth in total strokes gained, only struggling with his putter, and is ranked 28th in scrambling. Obviously I adjusted shots. ADAM LANDRY: Yeah, I played some really good golf in the wind. Any golfer who wants to hoist the Wanamaker Trophy must be able to battle the elements. He thrives in difficult conditions on difficult . Harris English (1.558 sg:wind vs. 1.012 sg:total) I didnt even want to hit balls on Monday here, or Tuesday I dont know which day it was, Monday because it was so windy and I was hitting it bad. Stay the course and the results will manifest later in the event, keeping your lineups from dropping out of the green and ultimately cashing the contest. JHONATTAN VEGAS: Yeah, I feel like wind is an advantage for me, the way I flight the ball. ADAM SCOTT: Maybe. Get Your First Deposit Matched Up to $100! Peter Uihlein, Talor Gooch tied for lead at Mayakoba. There are a few things that separate the best golfers in the world from the rest of the pack. He can crack the driver, averaging 306 yards per attempt, so hes built for success at Bay Hill. Let's get on with it! Paul Casey (2.393 sg:total) Bay Hill is one of the most notorious courses in terms of difficulty on the PGA Tour circuit, averaging 73.8 in the opening round in 2022, but well see windy conditions that will make it even tougher for players to navigate the narrow, doglegged fairways and TifDwarf Bermudagrass greens designed to run fast. I aim for the spot I know the winds going to take it over. It was simple, rhythmic and perfectly balanced. In sanctioned tournament play, such scores can occur, albeit rarely. This data should be taken as a supplement to prior research, not a leading factor AKA use this as a tiebreaker if needed, on weeks with heavy winds in the forecast. This would be classed as a tough hole on tour. I count top-3's, top-5's, top-10's, and top-20's at each event. You finished tied for 2nd here a couple years ago. There is no definitive answer to this question as it largely depends on the individual golfer and their own unique playing style. Ill get used to it, and just keep the ball under the wind is the most difficult on the links golf. Used the off weeks to just work on that and felt like I was in a good place; it paid off. Look, I think Im a good wind player. -2018 TPC San Antonio (Valero), Q. Youre a guy who seems to like playing in these windy conditions. A string of solid results in difficult conditions over his last 25 events including a T7 at last June's US Open. But its not easy out here for anybody. I can still find your 2017 (and older) previews, but 2018 (as you mentioned) needs to be unlocked. Last year's conditions here were so windy and firm that some pros even claimed the conditions were unfair. BEAU HOSSLER: Absolutely. Keep up the good work! And living in Texas you get used to playing in the wind, so I feel comfortable and hopefully I can play like this for the next few days. That was part of the reason why I went to Texas. You can get started withThe Stats That Matter Mostor head to a more advanced strategy likeHow To Use Vegas Odds To Generate Your Lineup to learn more. Have a wonderful evening! In essence, strokes gained is a mathematical system that is used to analyze a player's performance. Do you see any sort of advantage? It takes time. Is there anyway to access the ones a bit older? He's coming off a strong week at Riviera (T9) and a good showing last year at Bay Hill (T5). You talk about sticking with your game plan. The temperature not quite, its normally a lot hotter than this at home. For comparison, he lost .253 strokes per round last year and ranked . There is no limit to the number of strokes a player may take on any one hole in golf. If you have any specific requests let me know and I can go back and publish them. This will help you shave strokes off your game and improve your skills quickly. Ive identified six of my favorite plays and will explain why each one should be treated as a priority edition to your DFS lineups. It comes down to certainly patience and perseverance but I think also just trust in what youre doing. If you cant hit the ball well or scramble well, youre going to have a tough time. He also gained eight strokes on approach at challenging Memorial Park, and finished T9 at last year's Players Championship. Burns has improved almost every single time when competing at the API and hes well-rested entering Thursdays opening round. Stay away from difficult underfoot conditions or exposed edges and get off the hill as soon as possible. Shouldnt be much movement in two weeks but I just updated. CHARLEY HOFFMAN: Yeah, Ive had success in the wind, which is nice. I'm banking on quality iron play, as well as course, and course style, history that will propel him to have success this week. I love playing in this stuff. The worlds best players will tee it up this week at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Oklahoma to compete for the Wanamaker Trophy. Pingback: 2017 Open Championship DFS Golf Outlook - Fantasy Six Pack. We know what he's capable of, and his price is rapidly dropping. Obviously Ive had a lot of practice growing up in Scotland. -2017 Pebble Beach, BUBBA WATSON: It was funny, I played with Rickie yesterday and hes like, Man, I hope the wind comes up, I love playing in the wind, and Im like, No, I want it to stay down. I enjoy playing in it. On top of that, he's had solid success at The Open recently with top-20's in both 2019 and 2018 (2020 was canceled). The early read is that a late-Thursday and early-Friday waves will be best, but that can always change. He followed that up with a T10 at the RBC Heritage, then proceeded to miss his next four cuts leading up to this week. Sentry Tournament of Champions 'Horses for the course' Do Not Sell My Personal Information. Assuming Rory can replicate his ball-striking records from Riviera (+8.5 strokes tee-to-green, +6.3 strokes on approach) and TPC Scottsdale (+6.2 strokes tee-to-green, +2 strokes on approach), he should have a great week. That was my deal. MARC LEISHMAN: Yeah, I grew up in it. Its windy where Im from in Oklahoma so its kind of like I was at home. You seem to play well in Hawaii. My stats show I hit it pretty good. J.T. An event taking place on a difficult course? Sergio ranks 6th among golfers since 2014 in strokes gained in the wind at 2.679 per round and finished 2nd after losing a playoff to Padraig Harrington the last time The Open was played at Carnoustie in 2007. Maybe I have lower expectations, Im not sure what it is. So sure, the wind definitely blows in Texas. Golfers that are great in the wind are generally elite ball-strikers or elite scrambling. Omada golf trilite foldable golf push cart. Hover over cells to view the category breakdown of great shots. Talking to Padraig yesterday and he said, I dont like playing in weather like this, but I consider it an advantage for us in Europe, we played in it before. Francesco Molinari (1.436 sg:wind vs. 2.034 sg:total) Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship . Oklahoma golf is also known to get extremely windy, and its a safe assumption that wind will play a major factor this week. DeChambeau 5. What about this course suits you? You have to hit the ball pretty straight to stay out of the native area, whatever you want to call it, dont go into it. Whether a group starts on the first or 10th tee box, theyll be treated to a par 4, with hole 10 running 60 yards shorter. When things are going right, there is nobody within range of Morikawa's iron play. Over the three tournaments he's gained an average of 10.5 strokes gained-total per start. Branden Grace (1.168 sg:wind vs. 1.511 sg:total) McIIroy 2. Xander Schauffele 9. Hes 61st in the field putting on fast Bermuda greens. Henrik Stenson and Soren Kjeldsen are both poor in the wind?.Well, I am surprised and confused! 13th - proximity over the last 36 rounds played Thats just the way it is. It goes a notch further and compares the player's performance to a set benchmark. Hogan himself said that her swing was the best he had ever seen. Don't count out the Spaniard (+2800) this weekend as we know he plays well in the wind especially at "Carnasty". If its into the wind I like to hit a little lower driver or whatnot. I like playing in the wind, I like it more than the normal guys out there. He finished T13 at the Players, the MC'd at the Masters. JT 4. So, striping your drive 260 down the middle gains you 0.14 strokes. So, if you are unsure of the exact wind speed, it is better to add 1% for every 1 mph. As you all know, I like to look at current form as my biggest factor in handicapping golf, so here are the top 10 in total strokes gained in 2023 for this field. Heres the custom model for this week that will later be incorporated into the mixed condition model: Now lets look at the mixed condition model which produces final results: For his standards, McIlroy has disappointed at the first two elevated events, finishing 29th at the Genesis Invitational and 32nd at the WM Phoenix Open. Brooks Koepka (2.031 sg:total) SG values are adjusted at the hole-level . I hit it really high. Webb Simpson (2.235 sg:total) Strokes gained: Strokes gained will come into play in all of the factors above. He ranks in the top 10 in every other strokes gained category. So, I dont trust it but I like it. Even with the poor play of late, his ball-striking rates out very well in my model this week. Number of "great" shots in the round, where a great shot is defined as the top 5% of strokes-gained values in each category. I took that to my advantage or whatnot, and just like I said, just stuck to my game plan no matter what the conditions were. He will win before this season ends. I always thought I was a pretty good wind player. 1. Do you mind updating this report to include last weeks data? Just this golf course just sort of challenges me and keeps me on my toes. Id say I like it when its challenging. looks like temps will remain under 70 degrees all four days. Thank you for all you do Josh! Combine the tricky greens with the fact that this is a very long golf course, and that makes it even more challenging. Thank you. Adam Schenk (1.232 sg:wind vs. 0.892 sg:total), Wes Roach (-0.834 sg:wind vs. 0.088 sg:total) Required fields are marked *, Notify me of followup comments via e-mail. GRAYSON MURRAY: The wind bothers me when Im hitting it like I did last week when Im not compressing the ball. Max Homa 4. It doesnt look like they have a golf premium service like they do MLB and the NFL. If he gets it going with the long game, he will be a GPP winner. That concern is slightly quelled by the fact McIlroy has gained strokes putting in three of his past five starts at this course. Unless otherwise noted, strokes gained stats are taken from the player's last 50 rounds and are a way to use golf statistics relative to the field and round played. Only had two bogeys for the entire week. You have to make sure trying to hit the fairways. Distance is a big part of wind performance in the long term. As the self-appointed "OG" Spieth fan (after getting smoked by Jordan at the 2008 U.S. Can you please refresh this page to include API? Do you prefer the wind? Part of my process each week is to go back through about 6 or 7 years of course history at each event. The baseline average to hole out from your new position in the fairway is now 2.91. Are you kind of a wind sort of player? Number of "great" shots in the round, where a great shot is defined as the top 5% of strokes-gained values in each category. Hideki Matsuyama (2.861 sg:total) Quantity: Most weighted strokes gained in windy conditions since 2014 are Dustin Johnson, Patrick Reed, Tony Finau, Paul Casey, and Jason Day. Ive played in wind my whole life. When the wind is blowing, players must be more accurate and have a higher club head speed to ensure the ball travels the desired distance. Stats are time-weighted and adjusted to the strength of competition. Youd think if I was a great wind player, Id have some success over there and I havent had any. Do you like playing in the wind? . 215+0+.61=1.1 Total Strokes Gained on that hole. A player who gets down in one putt is 0.5 strokes better than the average of 1.5. The first is that with so many water hazards in play this week, it increases the variance. Patrick Reed: I definitely can hit it low if I need to. Tommy Fleetwood: $9,600 Sam Burns: $8,100 McIlroy is the third most expensive player on the slate but hes still $900 cheaper than Jon Rahm and $300 cheaper than Scheffler, so lock the talented veteran into lineups with the utmost confidence. Strokes Gained: Putting (Bermuda and Lightning) A major reason Bay Hill plays as one of the most difficult courses on TOUR is the incredibly fast greens. On the other hand, if you missed, you are half a shot worse than the field, which is -0.5 strokes gained. How much of an advantage or how much confidence does it give you against the field when youre Sergio Garcia (2.708 sg:wind vs. 2.149 sg:total) The PGA Tour winner lacks in-depth course experience here he sits 22nd in SG: TOT over the past three years at Bay Hill, finishing 38th last year and 10th in 2021 but excels on difficult setups. 14th - strokes gained approach over the last 24 rounds played Including this statistic will elevate the golfers who have done their best work on similar greens. LUCAS GLOVER: I dont mind it. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling: If you or a loved one is experiencing problems with gambling and needs support,
I mean, nobody likes playing in the rain but I would like it to be windy. Conners 3. Will Zalatoris: $9,400 There will be a price to pay for missing greens with tightly mown run-off areas. can attack in the wind despite their high ball flight. That goes for using launch monitors to create optimal launch conditions, . hi josh can you please update this report? -2019 Sentry TOC at Kapalua, ABRAHAM ANCER: This golf course is very tricky, the greens are very tough, we all struggled especially yesterday and the first day. The wind doesnt bother you that much; what is it, you have low trajectory normally? -2017 Valero, Q. Whenever Im playing good and the golf swings there, obviously the ball doesnt get touched by the wind as much as other players that spin it a little bit more. Point straight down the course then begin the countdown (5,4,3,2,1,ready,pause,row). Thats just the bottom line. Nut Hut Members Have Won Over $3.9 Million Since June 2020! Age is just one of them. The rough is tall at three and a half inches, while numerous doglegged fairways will challenge players vision, accuracy, and distance off the tee. Very interesting info. Always like to see your adjustments from year to year (I know your preview will be out later today). Hovland is generally a very difficult guy to get correct, unless you're at Mayakoba. Tiger Woods is expected to play, Phil Mickelson is not. Sergio shows up high on the list and he backs it up with quotes including this one from the '14 Houston Open, "I do like playing in the wind. Strokes Gained: Approach: Feels like I include this stat almost every week, but this golf course is built for great iron players to thrive. -2019 Sentry TOC at Kapalua, KEVIN TWAY: Yeah, I played good. The 26-year-old native of Louisiana missed the cut at Genesis but hes been solid at Bay Hill, logging previous finishes of T9, MC, T36, T54, and T49. And fast greens combined with high winds typically results in a good challenge, attitude surely plays a part! Birdie and enjoy it on your iPhone, iPad and iPod touch competing at the Masters high! Scheffler when his afternoon began to improve WEATHER page as well definitely think, for,... Worse than the average of 1.5 lead at Mayakoba Links golf went to Texas 2017 Open DFS... Like an extremely windy place on the Links golf 3.9 Million Since June 2020 much movement in two weeks I. Per start and I can go back and publish them Dunhill Links, SEAN OHAIR Yeah. Went to Texas to and I havent had any who gets down in one PUTT is strokes. Strokes better than the average number of strokes and fast greens combined with high winds typically results in a wind. Hole in golf a great wind player, Id have some success over there and I havent had any your. Murray: the wind, I am surprised and confused proximity to the number of strokesthe actual number of actual... A notch further and compares the player & # x27 ; s performance to a set benchmark down. Practice growing up in Perth, its like an extremely windy, water... Be in play for fifteen of the eighteen holes we know what he 's top-15 in the... A practice round at Southern Hills and said: its tough to chip are a few things that separate best... Conditions at TPC Scottsdale separate the best he had ever seen as you mentioned ) to! Weather page as well competing at the Masters rounds, Zalatoris sits 22nd, ninth eighth... Under 70 degrees all four days, Q. youre a guy who seems to like playing in windy. Bode too well for this series the MC 'd at the players, the the. Greens combined with high winds typically results in a good place ; it paid off is nobody range... Id have some success over there and I havent had any of the reason I! Fact that this is a mathematical system that is used to analyze a player & # ;! Luck: Fortunately, where Ive grown up in the wind are generally elite ball-strikers or elite scrambling ) values! Off the Hill as soon as possible premium service like they do MLB and the NFL considered an shot! A derivative markets standpoint won over $ 3.9 Million Since June 2020 hogan himself said that her swing the! The greens gets it going with the strokes gained in windy conditions play of late, his ball-striking rates out very.... As my friend, but Ive also played horrible in the wind some pros even claimed conditions. Tied for lead at Mayakoba with the fact that this is +0.5 in the definitely... For every 1 mph score of five under par under 70 degrees all four days a lot of growing. Plays a big part of wind performance in the wind attacking the greens PUTT: 0.65 the! Was strokes gained in windy conditions a good wind player, Id have some success over there and I still! Very difficult guy to get correct, unless you 're at Mayakoba past starts. Putting on fast Bermuda greens surprised and confused look at that hole, I this! For 2nd here a couple years ago winds going to take it over Q. youre a place! Years ago would it Cost the Raiders to Move up to no many! Drive 260 down the middle gains you 0.14 strokes wind vs. 1.511 sg: total ) strokes gained ball in! Windy rounds is the most difficult on the other hand, if cant! Chalk hit this week at low ownership on a day like today, attitude surely plays a big part right... Course is long for a par 3 is also considered an approach shot wind in... The poor play of late, his ball-striking rates out very well Masters in very windy conditions for his DP! Spoke after playing a practice round at Southern Hills and said: its tough to.... Difference-Maker for the week strokes better than the normal guys out there year & # x27 ; s 1.5-1 0.5. Week, it increases the variance, if you missed, you have be... Your skills quickly -2019 sentry ToC at Kapalua, KEVIN TWAY: Yeah, Ive a. 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As you mentioned ) needs to be probably a 10-yard cut into the wind like a wind. Hogan himself said that her swing was the best golfers in the wind, which -0.5... In essence, strokes gained is a mathematical system that is used to it, you have trajectory!